I know it's not good to read too much into line movements. But there are occasions where line movement has to have a reason behind it.
I was recently noticing that the OVER for the Mich.St./Ill. was at 46.5 -120. Does that necessarily mean that the public was betting the OVER a lot and the book was giving the line less value by moving it to -120?
Then the line for the OVER in that game went to 48.0 -108. That would tell me that the book thought the line at 46.5 was too low so it bumped it up to 48.0 to make it more even.
Am I reading too much into these line movements? I realize that the books don't always move lines based upon public betting but this one just seemed to be raised after getting the line at -120.
I was recently noticing that the OVER for the Mich.St./Ill. was at 46.5 -120. Does that necessarily mean that the public was betting the OVER a lot and the book was giving the line less value by moving it to -120?
Then the line for the OVER in that game went to 48.0 -108. That would tell me that the book thought the line at 46.5 was too low so it bumped it up to 48.0 to make it more even.
Am I reading too much into these line movements? I realize that the books don't always move lines based upon public betting but this one just seemed to be raised after getting the line at -120.
